LWD - March 2010
March 4th 2010

This is a continuation post for my Linux World Domination project, started in this May 2008 post. You can read the previous post in the series here.

In the following data T2D means "time to domination" (the expected time for Windows/Linux shares to cross, counting from the present date). DT2D means difference (increase/decrease) in T2D, with respect to last report. CLP means "current Linux Percent", as given by last logged data, and DD means domination day (in YYYY-MM-DD format), and DCLP means "difference in CLP", with respect to last logged data.

Project T2D DT2D DD CLP DCLP
Einstein already crossed - September 2009 54.80 +3.45
MalariaControl >10 years - - 12.12 +0.17
PrimeGrid >10 years - - 11.78 +1.47
POEM >10 years - - 11.52 +0.69
Rosetta >10 years - - 8.61 +0.01
SETI >10 years - - 8.12 +0.05
QMC >10 years - - 8.11 -0.12
Spinhenge >10 years - - 4.46 +0.09

The numbers (again) seem a bit discouraging, but the data is what it is. Now MalariaControl goes up (it went down in previous report), but QMC goes slightly down. All others go up. The Linux tide seems unstoppable, however its forward speed is not necessarily high.

As promised, today I'm showing the plots for Spinhenge@home. In next issue, QMC@home.

Number of hosts percent evolution for Spinhenge@home (click to enlarge)

Accumulated credit percent evolution for Spinhenge@home (click to enlarge)

Tags: , , , , , , , ,

No Comments yet »

LWD - December 2009
December 3rd 2009

This is a continuation post for my Linux World Domination project, started in this May 2008 post. You can read the previous post in the series here.

In the following data T2D means "time to domination" (the expected time for Windows/Linux shares to cross, counting from the present date). DT2D means difference (increase/decrease) in T2D, with respect to last report. CLP means "current Linux Percent", as given by last logged data, and DD means domination day (in YYYY-MM-DD format), and DCLP means "difference in CLP", with respect to last logged data. I have dropped the "Confidence" column, for it gave little or no info.

Project T2D DT2D DD CLP DCLP
Einstein already crossed - September 2009 51.35 +4.24
MalariaControl >10 years - - 11.95 -0.32
POEM 83.4 months - 2016-10-08 11.52 +0.69
PrimeGrid >10 years - - 10.31 +0.46
Rosetta >10 years - - 8.60 +0.10
QMC >10 years - - 8.23 +0.15
SETI >10 years - - 8.07 +0.05
Spinhenge >10 years - - 4.37 +0.15

Except for the good news that Einstein@home has succumbed to the Linux hordes, the numbers (again) seem quite discouraging, but the data is what it is. All CLPs but MalariaControl have gone up (which goes down less than in previous report). The Linux tide seems unstoppable, however its forward speed is not necessarily high.

As promised, today I'm showing the plots for Rosetta@home, in next issue Spinhenge@home.

Number of hosts percent evolution for Rosetta@home (click to enlarge)

Accumulated credit percent evolution for Rosetta@home (click to enlarge)

Tags: , , , , , , , , ,

1 Comment »

LDW - September 2009
September 2nd 2009

This is a continuation post for my Linux World Domination project, started in this May 2008 post. You can read the previous post in the series here.

In the following data T2D means "time to domination" (the expected time for Windows/Linux shares to cross, counting from the present date). DT2D means difference (increase/decrease) in T2D, with respect to last report. CLP means "current Linux Percent", as given by last logged data, and DD means domination day (in YYYY-MM-DD format).

Project T2D DT2D DD CLP Confidence %
Einstein 38.6 days -55 days 2009-10-10 47.11 (+2.60) 16.1
MalariaControl >10 years - - 12.27 (-0.37) -
POEM >10 years - - 10.83 (+0.17) -
PrimeGrid >10 years - - 9.85 (+0.24) -
Rosetta >10 years - - 8.50 (+0.13) -
QMC >10 years - - 8.07 (+0.15) -
SETI >10 years - - 8.02 (+0.02) -
Spinhenge >10 years - - 4.22 (+0.37) -

The numbers (again) seem quite discouraging, but the data is what it is. All CLPs but MalariaControl have gone up, with Spinhenge going up by almost a 0.4% in 3 months. The Linux tide seems unstoppable, however its forward speed is not necessarily high.

As promised, today I'm showing the plots for QMC@home, in next issue Rosetta@home.

Number of hosts percent evolution for QMC@home (click to enlarge)

Accumulated credit percent evolution for QMC"home (click to enlarge)

Tags: , , , , , , , , ,

1 Comment »

LWD - June 2009
June 2nd 2009

This is a continuation post for my Linux World Domination project, started in this May 2008 post. You can read the previous post in the series here.

In the following data T2D means "time to domination" (the expected time for Windows/Linux shares to cross, counting from the present date). DT2D means difference (increase/decrease) in T2D, with respect to last report. CLP means "current Linux Percent", as given by last logged data, and DD means domination day (in YYYY-MM-DD format).

For the first time, data for PrimeGrid is included.

Project T2D DT2D DD CLP Confidence %
Einstein 4.5 months +3.5 months 2009-10-14 44.51 (+2.42) 6.4
MalariaControl >10 years - - 12.64 (+0.09) -
POEM >10 years - - 10.66 (+0.19) -
PrimeGrid 75 months - 2015-07-22 9.61 1.3
Rosetta >10 years - - 8.37 (+0.28) -
QMC >10 years - - 7.92 (+0.05) -
SETI >10 years - - 8.00 (+0.06) -
Spinhenge >10 years - - 3.87 (+0.28) -

Mmm, the numbers seem quite discouraging, but the data is what it is. On the bright side, all CLPs have gone up, some almost a 0.3% in 3 months. The Linux tide seems unstoppable, however its forward speed is not necessarily high.

As promised, today I'm showing the plots for PrimeGrid, in next issue QMC@home.

Number of hosts percent evolution for PrimeGrid (click to enlarge)

Accumulated credit percent evolution for PrimeGrid (click to enlarge)

Tags: , , , , , , , , ,

No Comments yet »

LWD - March 2009
March 12th 2009

Did I say "bimonthly" in my last report? Mmm, that was 3 months ago... You can read an intro for my Linux World Domination project in this May 2008 post.

As usual D2D means "days to domination" (the expected time for Windows/Linux shares to cross, counting from the present date), and DD2D means difference (increase/decrease) in D2D, with respect to last report. CLP means "current Linux Percent", as given by last logged data, and DD means domination day (in YYYY-MM-DD format).

Project D2D DD2D DD CLP Confidence %
Einstein 107 -144 2009-06-26 42.09 (+4.61) 17.3
MalariaControl >10k - - 12.55 (+0.10) -
POEM 5345 +325 2023-10-30 10.47 (+0.42) 2.5
Rosetta >10k - - 8.09 (+0.10) -
QMC >10k - - 7.87 (-0.04) -
SETI >10k - - 7.94 (+0.06) -
Spinhenge >10k - - 3.59 (+0.24) -

As promised, today I'm showing the plots for POEM@home, in next issue Prime@home.

Number of hosts percent evolution for POEM@home (click to enlarge)

Accumulated credit percent evolution for POEM@home (click to enlarge)

Tags: , , , , , , , , ,

No Comments yet »

LWD - December
December 2nd 2008

I will start making this section bimonthly, otherwise the only content of my blog will consist on it. Besides, the new information generation rate is not enough to require more often updates.

You can read an intro for my Linux World Domination project in this May 2008 post.

As usual D2D means "days to domination" (the expected time for Windows/Linux shares to cross, counting from the present date), and DD2D means difference (increase/decrease) in D2D, with respect to last report. CLP means "current Linux Percent", as given by last logged data, and DD means domination day (in YYYY-MM-DD format).

Project D2D DD2D DD CLP Confidence %
Einstein 250.8 -631.3 2009-08-09 37.48 (+2.31) 9.5
MalariaControl 7172.8 +282.8 2028-07-22 12.45 (+0.19) 0.8
POEM 5020.4 +1406.5 2022-08-31 10.05 (+0.26) 1.1
QMC >10k - - 7.91 (+0.03) -
Rosetta >10k - - 7.99 (+0.08) -
SETI >10k - - 7.88 (+0.02) -
Spinhenge >10k - - 3.35 (+0.14) -

As promised, today I'm showing the plots for MalariaControl. In next issue: POEM@home.

Number of hosts percent evolution for MalariaControl (click to enlarge)

Accumulated credit percent evolution for MalariaControl (click to enlarge)

Tags: , , , , , , , , ,

No Comments yet »

LWD - October
October 30th 2008

Hey, October almost passed and I didn't write the montly report on LWD. I might make it bimontly, to produce less spam in the blog. You can read an intro for my Linux World Domination project in this May 2008 post.

As usual D2D means "days to domination" (the expected time for Windows/Linux shares to cross, counting from Feb 3, 2008), and DD2D means difference (increase/decrease) in D2D, with respect to last report. CLP means "current Linux Percent", as given by last logged data. The new datum DD means domination day (in YYYY-MM-DD format).

As a new feature, I am now fitting the curves (to predict Windows/Linux crossing) to first degree polynomials, but taking only the last N points so that the coefficient of regression is close to 1 (yes, I am being purposely unclear and arbitrary on this subject).

Project D2D DD2D DD CLP Confidence %
Einstein 882.1 +571.9 2011-03-31 35.17 (+0.27) 37.3
MalariaControl 6890.0 +6268.8 2027-09-10 12.26 (+0.06%) 0.3
POEM 3613.9 - 2018-09-21 9.81 (+0.05%) 0.4
QMC >10k - - 7.88 (+0.0%) -
Rosetta >10k - - 7.91 (+0.11%) -
SETI >10k - - 7.86 (+0.03) -
Spinhenge >10k - - 3.21 (+0.2%) -

OK, the data seems discouraging. The crossing day (DD) seems to be further away every month, instead of closer. Recall however that the only (half) reliable data are the current (and past) percents. All the rest is speculation, and the fits change wildly depending on the function used to make them, and the number of points fit.

Starting with this month's issue, I might post pictures of the evolution plots. Today I'm showing the plots for Einstein@home. Next month: Malaria@home.

Number of hosts percent evolution for Einstein@home (click to enlarge)

Accumulated credit percent evolution for Einstein@home (click to enlarge)

Tags: , , , , , , , , ,

No Comments yet »

LWD - September
September 10th 2008

Ups! August passed, my holidays finished, second work week... and I haven't written much lately. I will partially fix that by updating my Linux World Domination project (you can read this May 2008 post for an intro).

As usual D2D means "days to domination" (the expected time for Windows/Linux shares to cross, counting from Feb 3, 2008), and DD2D means difference (increase/decrease) in D2D, with respect to last report. CLP means "current Linux Percent", as given by last logged data.

Project D2D DD2D CLP Confidence %
Einstein 310.2 +62.3 34.94 43.0
MalariaControl 621.2 -374.9 12.20 35.0
POEM never - 9.76 -
QMC 2873.2 +356.5 7.88 7.2
Rosetta 24647.0 +20189.5 7.80 0.5
SETI 4668.7 +1666.2 7.83 4.3
Spinhenge 12226.0 - 3.01 0.8
Tags: , , , , , , ,

No Comments yet »

LWD - July
July 15th 2008

After another boring month, I have little to write about, besides my LWD project data update. You can read this May 2008 post for an intro.

As usual D2D means "days to domination" (the expected time for Windows/Linux shares to cross, counting from Feb 3, 2008), and DD2D means difference (increase/decrease) in D2D, with respect to last report (around a month ago).

Project D2D DD2D Confidence %
Einstein 247.9 +62.8 30.4
MalariaControl 996.1 +166.2 15.7
POEM 478.5 - 8.6
QMC 2516.7 +555.0 5.9
Rosetta 4457.5 +3155.8 1.8
SETI 3002.5 -1194.0 4.9
Spinhenge never - -

Except for SETI@home, all the D2Ds have gone up, showing that maybe the predictions so far were too optimistic. On the bright side (for FLOSS), SETI is, by far, the project with most users, so its results are the most reliable.

Recall that confidence percents are below 10%, except in two cases, which means logged data extent is small, compared to prediction time. This periodic report, thus, will get more and more accurate as months pass by.

Tags: , , , , , , ,

No Comments yet »

LWD update
June 15th 2008

This is a (in principle, monthly) update to my "Linux World Domination" project. You can read the intro in this May 2008 post.

The data presented is different from the one in the aforementioned post:

  • Mac is dropped from it
  • Predictor@home is also dropped
  • Two projects have been added: POEM and Spinhenge
  • D2D means "days to domination". The expected time for Windows/Linux shares to cross, counting from Feb 3, 2008.
  • DD2D means difference (increase/decrease) in D2D, with respect to last report (a month ago)
Project D2D DD2D Confidence %
Einstein 185.1 - 21.8
MalariaControl 829.9 -1.1 15.5
POEM never - -
QMC 1961.7 +122.7 6.1
Rosetta 1301.7 - 3.8
SETI 4196.5 -370.5 2.9
Spinhenge - - -

Except for QMC@home, all the projects have reduced the D2D. Rosetta and Einstein were expected to never lead to LWD, and now they are.

See you next month!

Tags: , , , , , , , ,

No Comments yet »

Next »

  • The contents of this blog are under a Creative Commons License.

    Creative Commons License

  • Meta